On June 17, 2025, Rainwater Equity launched its first fund called, well, Rainwater Equity ETF (RW). The fund pursues long-term capital appreciation by investing in a concentrated portfolio of businesses with recurring revenue and robust leadership. The fund targets dominant companies that generate predictable cash flows and foster customer loyalty. Businesses that might qualify are Continue reading
Author Archives: David Snowball
Three years on: Guarding against complacency
Blessed are the forgetful, for they “get the better” even of their blunders. Friedrich Nietzsche, “Our Virtues,” Beyond Good and Evil (1886)
Our summer tradition is to update you on our ruminations and recommendations from three (or five) years ago. That exercise serves three purposes:
- It provides a reality check on whether our recommendations for options to consider bear fruit. (Or are bare of fruit.)
- It provides a reminder of how much chaos you’ve already experienced. If we did a pop quiz (quick: the market three years ago this week was a. crashing, b. flat, c. soaring, d. huh? The best answer is “d” but the historic pattern for 2022 was crash into a bear in spring, soar into a bull in summer, crash again in fall.)
- It provides focus. For me, mostly. Summers are some combination of lazy, hazy, and crazy. The discipline of looking back precisely three years and reassessing our lead story keeps me from spending time obsessively cataloging the types of bees (at least eight species, including two distinct sets of bumblebees) swarming the garden.
July 1, 2025
Dear friends,
Welcome to the “Midsommar in Scandinavia” issue of the Mutual Fund Observer. Chip and I are enjoying a long-planned holiday in Sweden and Norway. We’re equally delighted that you’re here … and we’re there!
In this month’s Observer…
Among other things (how would I know for sure? I’m in Gamla Stan), Lynn Bolin addresses the emerging threat of tariff-induced inflation with “Protecting Against Tariff Induced Inflation,” analyzing how widespread tariffs will likely be passed through to consumers and drive inflation to an estimated 3.4% peak next quarter. Drawing on five years of post-pandemic bond performance data, he demonstrates Continue reading
Mark Headley, once and again CEO: “there’s good bones there”
Matthews Asia is navigating a challenging period. Founded 30 years ago by Paul Matthews, the firm achieved a rare trifecta: consistently outstanding risk-sensitive returns across the entire fund family, outstanding success, such as the once $60 million AUM firm touched the $36 billion mark, and enormous professional respect as the country’s premier Asian investing specialist with a robust internal culture and deep bench.
The Matthews Asia of 2025 feels a long way from that success.
Assets have plummeted Continue reading
More dirty sex and your spanked portfolio: A three-year review
Many and many a year ago, in the kingdom of ABC, Woody Allen was one of my very first guests. And we consented to take questions from an eager audience of mostly young people. Like ourselves.
The questioner looked like a high school girl and shouted to Woody from the balcony, “Do you think sex is dirty?”
Allen: “It is if you do it right.” (Dick Cavett, “As the comics say, These kids today! I tell ya.” New York Times, 9/13/2013)
I’d rather hoped that the observation originated with someone rather more wholesome, Groucho Marx or Mae West, for example, but we’re stuck with Continue reading
Launch Alert: Stewart Investors Worldwide Leaders fund
On June 18, 2025, Stewart Investors, an active, long-only global equity specialist with $16.5 billion in assets under management, launched the Stewart Investors Worldwide Leaders fund (SWWLX) with an initial investment from a U.S. foundation. SWWLX is the firm’s first fund available to regular US investors.
Stewart is Edinburgh-based and describes themselves this way: “We are a small team of passionate investors managing, on behalf of our clients, investment portfolios with a focus Continue reading
Aegis Value Fund (AVALX)
THIS IS AN UPDATE OF THE FUND PROFILES published in 2009 and 2013.
Objective and strategy
The fund seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing in a diversified portfolio of very, very small North American companies.
Aegis believes excess returns can be generated by:
- purchasing a well-researched portfolio of fundamentally sound small-cap stocks trading at low valuations during periods of stress or neglect, when liquidity is low and investor sentiment is poor,
- holding these investments patiently through periods of short-term price volatility while fundamental conditions normalize, and
- selling after fundamental trends reverse, as recovery becomes visible and investor sentiment improves, driving valuations higher.
June 1, 2025
Welcome to the June issue of the Mutual Fund Observer!
It’s a grand month, whose start was marked by the 165th commencement ceremony celebrating Augustana’s graduates. The college was born in 1860, an expression of longing and ambition. Swedish immigrants in the Midwest – and there were a lot of them – wanted to provide their children with a better life, which, to them, meant a good education. At the same time, they didn’t want their children to forget their homeland and its proud traditions.
So, they made a college. Modeled after the great universities in northern Europe, Augustana became an expression of faith: in the welcome that America gave its new citizens, in the country’s endless promise, in the power of education, Continue reading
“Something wicked this way comes,” Ray Bradbury (1962)
It was a great and horrifying story about two young boys and the arrival of the Cooger and Dark Carnival in Green Town, Illinois. If you entered the carnival grounds late at night, you might be drawn to its iconic ride, Cooger & Dark’s Pandemonium Shadow Show. It’s a story about the ways in which evil can be a powerful temptation to even the best of Continue reading
May 1, 2025
Dear friends,
Welcome to May, traditionally, the month in which to sell in!
These first few weeks of May are an odd time on campus. My seniors are scrambling for jobs (or antidepressants), the juniors are teeing up internships, and the youngsters are … well, mostly wondering what just happened to Continue reading
