The Romans had a maxim, “Shorten your weapons and lengthen your frontiers.” But our maxim seems to be, “Diminish your weapons and increase your obligations.” Aye, and diminish the weapons of your friends.
Winston S. Churchill, speech to the House of Commons, 14 March 1934
There has been a lot of discussion in recent months about the Kraft Heinz Continue reading
The typical American of today has lost all the love of liberty that his forefathers had, and all their disgust of emotion, and pride in self-reliance. He is led no longer by Davy Crocketts; he is led by cheer leaders, press agents, word-mongers, uplifters.
H.L. Mencken, “On Being an American” (1922)
As we move forward, now more than half-way through the first Continue reading
“Life is a predicament which precedes death.”
Henry James
After a year in which most investors saw unrealized losses in their fund investments due to a very volatile December, probably half of those unrealized losses have been made up through the end of January 2019. This reinforces again the value of being a long-term investor, when you are comfortable with the investment philosophy, strategy, and personnel implementing same at a fund.
But do you Continue reading
“Human life is punishment.” Seneca
“Vīta hūmāna est supplicium,” Lucius Annaeus Seneca
Looking at the detritus of the year just passed and its effect on investment portfolios, the question that will be asked ad nauseam over the next four or five weeks will be some variant on “How did this happen?” The answer is rather short and simple. You, your mutual fund portfolio manager, and the asset management firm that the fund is part of, all were too greedy.
How so? Continue reading
Snow on the pines
Thus breaks the power
That splits mountains.
Otaka Gengo Tadeo (one of the forty-seven samurai).
So, another month of volatility come and gone. I think back to about this time almost a year ago, when one of my dinner companions at an event in New York was Byron Wien. Byron had just released his famous annual predictions, one of which was that Continue reading
“In three words I can tell you everything I have learned about life. It goes on.”
Robert Frost
One of the more entertaining stories of September, reflecting just how far we have fallen, was to be found in the Business Section of the New York Times on Continue reading
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern. Every class is unfit to govern.”
John Emerich Edward Dalberg Acton, aka Lord Acton, “Letter to Mary Gladstone” (24 April 1881)
The continued shrinking of liquidity has been a continued concern of mine. We are at a point where the danger signals are again blinking, except the danger will come not from the direction Continue reading
“A smooth sea never made a skilled sailor.”
English proverb sometimes attributed to FDR
There is a tendency among investors, especially younger ones, to extrapolate their assumptions about investments far off into the future, beyond just a normal year or two. Once something has started working – growth rates, earnings increases, share price growth – expectations become unrealistic AND unsustainable. We have seen that in the last few years about the Continue reading
“If you attack stupidity you attack an entrenched interest with friends in government and every walk of public life, and you will make small progress against it.”
Samuel Marchbanks
Those of us who were value investors and running money back at the beginning of 2000, remember what a horrible time it was. For some years value had been lagging growth in performance. We were routinely told, either in emails or other communications from our investors, that our style of investing was never coming back, that we were dinosaurs who hadn’t recognized that we were extinct, and that technology stocks were the place to be as they represented the Continue reading
“Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn’t do than by the things you did do, so throw off the bowlines, sail away from safe harbor, catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore, Dream, Discover.” Mark Twain
With June, we have had the coming of another Morningstar Conference. Repeatedly I studied the agenda. I could not see anything I thought worth hearing. Rather than presenting many of the leading investment professionals of the mutual fund world, this year the key seemed to be Continue reading