Category Archives: Most intriguing new funds

Amana Developing World Fund (AMDWX), May 2012

By David Snowball

Objective

The fund seeks long-term capital growth by investing exclusively in stocks of companies with significant exposure (50% or more of assets or revenues) to countries with developing economies and/or markets.  That investment can occur through ADRs and ADSs.  Investment decisions are made in accordance with Islamic principles. The fund diversifies its investments across the countries of the developing world, industries, and companies, and generally follows a value investment style.

Adviser

Saturna Capital, of Bellingham, Washington.  Saturna oversees six Sextant funds, the Idaho Tax-Free fund and four Amana funds.  They have about $4 billion in assets under management, the great bulk of which are in the Amana funds.  The Amana funds invest in accord with Islamic investing principles. The Income Fund commenced operations in June 1986 and the Growth Fund in February, 1994. Mr. Kaiser was recognized as the best Islamic fund manager for 2005.

Manager

Scott Klimo, Monem Salam, Levi Stewart Zurbrugg.

Mr. Klimo is vice president and chief investment officer of Saturna Capital and a deputy portfolio manager of Amana Income and Amana Developing World Funds. He joined Saturna Capital in 2012 as director of research. From 2001 to 2011, he served as a senior investment analyst, research director, and portfolio manager at Avera Global Partners/Security Global Investors. His academic background is in Asian Studies and he’s lived in a variety of Asian countries over the course of his professional career. Monem Salam is a portfolio manager, investment analyst, and director for Saturna Capital Corporation. He is also president and executive director of Saturna Sdn. Bhd, Saturna Capital’s wholly-owned Malaysian subsidiary. Mr. Zurbrugg is a senior investment analyst and portfolio manager for Saturna Capital Corporation. 

Mr. Klimo joined the fund’s management team in 2012 and worked with Amana founder Nick Kaiser for nearly five years. Mr. Salam joined in 2017 and Mr. Zurbrugg in 2020.

Inception

September 28, 2009.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Mr. Klimo has a modest personal investment of $10,000 – 50,000 in the fund. Mr. Salam has invested between $100,000 – 500,000. Mr. Zurbrugg has a nominal investment of under $10,000.

Minimum investment

$250 for all accounts, with a $25 subsequent investment minimum.  That’s blessedly low.

Expense ratio

1.21% on AUM of $29.4M, as of June 2023.  That’s up about $4 million since March 2011. There’s also a 2% redemption fee on shares held fewer than 90 days.

Comments

Our 2011 profile of AMDWX recognized the fund’s relatively poor performance.  From launch to the end of 2011, a 10% cumulative gain against a 34% gain for its average peer over the same period.  I pointed out that money was pouring into emerging market stock funds at the rate of $2 billion a week and that many very talented managers (including the Artisan International Value team) were heading for the exits. The question, I suggested, was “will Amana’s underperformance be an ongoing issue?   No.”

Over the following 12 months (through April 2012), Amana validated that conclusion by finishing in the top 5% of all emerging markets stock funds.

Our conclusion in May 2011 was, “if you’re looking for a potential great entree into the developing markets, and especially if you’re a small investors looking for an affordable, conservative fund, you’ve found it!”

That confidence, which Mr. Kaiser earned over years of cautious, highly-successful investing, has been put to the test with this fund.  It has trailed the average emerging markets equities fund in eight of its 10 quarters of operation and finished at the bottom of the emerging markets rankings in 2010 and 2012 (through April 29).

What should you make of that pattern: bottom 1% (2010), top 5% (2011), bottom 3% (2012)?

Cash and crash.

For a long while, the majority of the fund’s portfolio has been in cash: over 50% at the end of March 2011 and 47% at the end of March 2012.  That has severely retarded returns during rising markets but substantially softened the blow of falling ones.  Here is AMDWX, compared with Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund (VEIEX):

The index leads Amana by a bit, cumulatively, but that lead comes at a tremendous cost.  The volatility of the VEIEX chart helps explain why, over the past five years, its investors have managed to pocket only about one-third of the fund’s nominal gains.  The average investor arrives late, leaves early and leaves poor.

How should investors think about the fund as a future investment?  Manager Nick Kaiser made a couple important points in a late April 2012 interview.

  1. This fund is inherently more conservative than most. Part of that comes from its Islamic investing principles which keep it from investing in highly-indebted firms and financial companies, but which also prohibit speculation.  That latter mandate moves the fund toward a long-term ownership model with very low turnover (about 2% per year) and it keeps the fund away from younger companies whose prospects are mostly speculative.In addition to the sharia requirements, the management also defines “emerging markets companies” as those which derive half of their earnings or conduct half of their operations in emerging markets.  That allows it to invest in firms domiciled in the US.  Apple (AAPL), not a fund holding, first qualified as an emerging markets stock in April 2012.  The fund’s largest holding, as of March 2012, was VF Corporation (VFC) which owns the Lee, Wrangler, Timberland, North Face brands, among others.  Mead Johnson (MJN), which makes infant nutrition products such as Enfamil, was fourth.  Those companies operate with considerably greater regulatory and product safety scrutiny than might operate in many developing nations.  They’re also less volatile than the typical e.m. stock.
  2. The managers are beginning to deploy their cash.  At the end of April 2012, cash was down to 41% (from 47% a month earlier).  Mr. Kaiser notes that valuations, overall, are “a bit more attractive” and, he suspects, “the time to be invested is approaching.”

Bottom line

Mr. Kaiser is a patient investor, and would prefer shareholders who are likewise patient.  His generally-cautious equity selections have performed well (the average stock in the portfolio is up 12% as of late April 2012, matching the performance of the more-speculative stocks in the Vanguard index) and he’s now deploying cash into both U.S. and emerging markets-domiciled firms.  If markets turn choppy, this is likely to remain an island of comfortable sanity.  If, contrarily, emerging markets somehow soar in the face of slowing growth in China (often their largest market), this fund will continue to lag.  Much of the question in determining whether the fund makes sense for you is whether you’re willing to surrender the dramatic upside in order to have a better shot at capital preservation in the longer term.

Company link

Amana Developing World

2013 Q3 Report

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FMI International (FMIJX), May 2012

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

FMI International seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing, mainly, in a focused portfolio of large cap, non-US stocks. The Fund may invest in common and preferred stocks, convertibles, warrants, ADRs and ETFs. It targets firms with global, rather than national, footprints. They describe themselves as looking “for stocks of good businesses that are selling at value prices in an effort to achieve above average performance with below average risk.”

Adviser

Fiduciary Management, Inc., of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. FMI was founded in 1980 and is employee owned.  They manage over $14.5 billion in assets for domestic and international institutions, individual investors and RIAs through separately managed accounts and the five FMI funds.

Managers

A nine-person management team, directed by CEO Ted Kellner and Patrick English.  Mr. Kellner has been with the firm since 1980, Mr. English since 1986.  Kellner and English also co-manage FMI Common Stock (FMIMX), a solid, risk-conscious small- to mid-value fund which is closed to new investors and FMI Large Cap (FMIHX).  The team manages three other funds and nearly 900 separate accounts, valued at about $5.3 billion.

Inception

December 31, 2010.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

As of December 2011, all nine managers were invested in the fund, with substantial investments by the three senior members (in excess of $100,000) and fair-sized investments ($10,000 – $100,000) by most of the younger members.  In addition, five of the fund’s six directors had substantial investments ($50,000 and up) in the fund.  Collectively, the fund’s board and officers owned 55% of the fund’s shares.

Minimum investment

$2500 for all accounts.

Expense ratio

0.94% on assets of close to $4.1 Billion, as of July 2023. 

Comments

You would expect a lot from a new FMI fund. The other two FMI-managed funds are both outstanding.  FMI Common Stock (FMIMX), a small- to mid-cap core fund launched in 1981, has been outstanding: it has earned Morningstar’s highest designations (Five Stars and a Gold analyst rating), it’s earned Lipper’s highest designations for Total Returns and Preservation of Capital, and it has top tier returns for the past 5, 10 and 15 years.  FMI Large Cap (FMIHX), a large cap core fund launched in 2001, has been outstanding: it has earned Morningstar’s highest designations (Five Stars and a Gold analyst rating), it’s earned Lipper’s highest designations for Total Returns, Consistency and Preservation of Capital, and it has top tier returns for the past 5 and 10 years. Both are more concentrated (30-40 stocks), more conservative (both have “below average” to “low” risk scores from Morningstar), and more deliberate (turnover is less than half their peers’).

Consistent, cautious discipline is their mantra: “While past performance may not be indicative of the future, we can assure our shareholders that FMI’s investment process will remain the same as it has for over 30 years, with a steadfast focus on fundamental research and an emphasis on avoiding permanent impairment of capital.”

Since FMI International is run by the same team, using the same investment discipline, you’d have reason to expect a lot of it.  And, so far, your expectations would have been more than met.

Like its siblings, International has posted top-tier returns.  $10,000 invested at the fund’s lunch at the end of 2010 would now be worth $10,000 by the end of April 2012.  In that same period, its average peer would have lost $500.  Like its siblings, International has excelled in turbulent markets and been competitive in quickly rising ones.  At the end of March, FMI’s managers noted “Since inception, the performance of the Fund has been consistent with FMI’s long-term track record in domestic equities, generally outperforming in periods of distress, while lagging during sharp market rallies.”

It’s important to note that the FMI funds post strong absolute returns in the years in which the markets turn froth and they lag their peers.  Common Stock badly trailed its peers in four of the past 11 years (2003, 07, 10 and YTD 12) but posted an average 15.4% return in those years.  Large Cap lagged three times (2007, 10, and YTD 12) but posted 10.6% returns in those years.  For both funds, their performance in these “bad” years is better than their own overall long-term records.

A number of factors distinguish FMI from the average large cap international fund:

  1. It’s noticeably more concentrated.  The fund holds 26 stocks.80-120 would be far more typical.
  2. It has a large stake in North American stocks.  The US and Canada consume 30% of the portfolio (as of March 2012), with U.S. multinationals occupying as much space in the portfolio (19%) as SEC rules permit.  A 4% stake would be more common.
  3. It has a long holding period, about seven years, which is reflected in a 12% portfolio turnover.  60% turnover is about average.
  4. It avoids direct exposure to emerging markets.  There are no traditionally “emerging markets” stocks in the portfolio, though all of the companies in the portfolio derive earnings from the emerging markets.  It is unlikely that investors here will ever see the sort of emerging markets stake that’s typical of such funds. The managers explain that
    • the lack of good data, transparency and trust with respect to accounting, management, return on invested capital, governance, and several other factors makes it impossible for us to look at many international companies in a way that is comparable to how we operate domestically. China is an example of a country where we simply do not have enough trust and confidence in the companies or the government to invest our shareholders’ money.
    • In China there is little respect for intellectual property, and we are not surprised to see massive fraud allegations in the news with regard to Chinese equities. Investors have lost fortunes in companies such as Sino-Forest, MediaExpress, China Agritech, Rino International, and others. While there are sure to be high-quality, reliable mainland China or other emerging market businesses, for now we plan to focus on companies domiciled in developed countries, with accounting, management, and governance we can trust. As we look to invest in multinational companies that generally have a global footprint, we will get exposure to emerging markets without direct investment in the countries themselves. This will allow our shareholders to get the benefits of global diversification, but with a much greater margin of safety.
  5. The fund actively manages its currency exposure.  The managers are deeply skeptical that the euro-zone will survive and are fairly certain that the yen is “dramatically overvalued.”  As a result, they own only two stocks denominated in euros (Henkel and TNT Express) and have hedged both their euro and yen exposure.  As the managers at Tweedy, Browne have noted, the cost of those hedges reduces long-term returns by a little but short-term volatility by a lot.

On top of the manager’s stock selection skills and the fund’s distinctive portfolio, I’d commend them for a very shareholder friendly environment – from the very low expenses for such a small fund to their willingness to close Common Stock – and for really thoughtful writing.  Their shareholder letters are frequently, detailed, thoughtful and literate.  They’re a far cut above the marketing pap generated by many larger companies.  They also update the information on their website (holdings, commentaries, performance comparisons) quite frequently.

Bottom line

All the evidence available suggests that FMI International is a star in the making.  It’s headed by a cautious and consistent team that’s been together for a long while.  Expenses are low, the minimum is low, and FMI’s portfolio of high-quality multinational stocks is likely to produce a smoother, more profitable ride than the vast majority of its competitors.  Investors, and not just conservative ones, who are looking for a risk-conscious approach to international equities owe it to themselves to review this fund.

Company link

FMI International

March 31, 2023 Semi-Annual Report

RMS (a/k/a FundReveal) provides a discussion of the fund’s risk/return profile, based on their messages of daily volatility, at http://www.fundreveal.com/mutual-fund-blog/2012/05/fmjix-analysis-complementing-mutual-fund-observer-may-1-2012/

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Wedgewood (formerly RiverPark/Wedgewood), (RWGFX), September 2011

By Editor

At the time of publication, this fund was named RiverPark/Wedgewood.

Objective

Wedgewood pursues long-term capital growth, but does so with an intelligent concern for short-term loss. The manager invests in 20-25 predominately large-cap market leaders.  In general, that means recognizable blue chip names (the top four, as of 08/11, are Google, Apple, Visa, and Berkshire Hathaway) with a market value of more than $5 billion.  They describe themselves as “contrarian growth investors.”  That translates to two principles: (1) target great businesses with sustainable, long-term advantages and (2) buy them when normal growth investors – often momentum-oriented managers – are panicking and running away.  They then tend to hold stocks for substantially longer than do most growth managers.  The combination of a wide economic moat and a purchase at a reasonable price gives the fund an unusual amount of downside protection, considering that it remains almost always fully-invested.

Adviser

RiverPark Advisors, LLC.   Executives from Baron Asset Management, including president Morty Schaja, formed RiverPark in July 2009.  RiverPark oversees the five RiverPark funds, though other firms manage three of the five.  Until recently, they also advised two actively-managed ETFs under the Grail RP banner.  A legally separate entity, RiverPark Capital Management, runs separate accounts and partnerships.  Collectively, they have $100 million in assets under management, as of August 2011.  Wedgewood Partners, Inc. manages $1.1 billion in separate accounts managed similarly to the fund and subadvises the fund and provides the management team and strategy.

Manager

David Rolfe.  Mr. Rolfe has managed the fund since its inception, and has managed separate accounts using the same strategy since 1993.  He joined Wedgewood that year and was charged with creating the firm’s focused growth strategy.  He holds a BA in Finance from the University of Missouri at St. Louis, a durn fine school.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Mr. Rolfe and his associates clearly believe in eating their own cooking.   According to Matt Kelly of RiverPark, “not only has David had an SMA invested in this strategy for years, but he invested in the Fund on day 1”.   As of August 1, David and his immediate family’s stake in the Fund was approximately $400,000.  In addition, 50% of Wedgewood’s 401(k) money is invested in the fund.  Finally, Mr. Rolfe owns 45% of Wedgewood Partners.  “Of course, RiverPark executives are also big believers in the Fund, and currently have about $2 million in the Fund.”

Opening date

September 30, 2010

Minimum investment

$1,000 across the board.

Expense ratio

1.25% on assets, in the retail version of the fund, of $29 million (as of August 2023). The institutional shares are 1.00%. Both share classes have a waiver on the expense ratio. 

Comments

Americans are a fidgety bunch, and always have been.  Alexis de Tocqueville observed, in 1835 no less, that our relentless desire to move around and do new things ended only at our deaths.

A native of the United States clings to this world’s goods as if he were certain never to die; and he is so hasty in grasping at all within his reach that one would suppose he was constantly afraid of not living long enough to enjoy them. He clutches everything, he holds nothing fast, but soon loosens his grasp to pursue fresh gratifications.

Our national mantra seems to be “don’t just sit there, do something!”

That impulse affects individual and professional investors alike.  It manifests itself in the desire to buy into every neat story they hear, which leads to sprawling portfolios of stocks and funds each of which earns the title, “it seemed like a good idea at the time.”  And it leads investors to buy and sell incessantly.  We become stock collectors and traders, rather than business owners.

Large-cap funds, and especially large large-cap funds, suffer similarly.  On average, actively-manage large growth funds hold 70 stocks and turn over 100% per year.  The ten largest such funds hold 311 stocks on average and turn over 38% per year

The well-read folks at Wedgewood see it differently.  Manager David Rolfe endorses Charles Ellis’s classic essay, “The Losers Game” (Financial Analysts Journal, July 1975). Reasoning from war and sports to investing, Ellis argues that losers games are those where, as in amateur tennis,

The amateur duffer seldom beats his opponent, but he beats himself all the time. The victor in this game of tennis gets a higher score than the opponent, but he gets that higher score because his opponent is losing even more points.

Ellis argues that professional investors, in the main, play a losers game by becoming distracted, unfocused and undistinguished.  Mr. Rolfe and his associates are determined not to play that game.  They position themselves as “contrarian growth investors.”  In practical terms, that means:

They force themselves to own fewer stocks than they really want to.  After filtering a universe of 500-600 large growth companies, Wedgewood holds only “the top 20 of the 40 stocks we really want to own.”   Currently, 63% of the fund’s assets are in its top ten picks.

They buy when other growth managers are selling. Most growth managers are momentum investors, they buy when a stock’s price is rising.  If the company behind the stock meets the firm’s quantitative (“return on equity > 25%”) and qualitative (“a dominant product or service that is practically irreplaceable or lacks substitutes”) screens, Wedgewood would rather buy during panic than during euphoria.

They hold far longer once they buy.  The historical average for Wedgewood’s separate accounts which use this exact discipline is 15-20% turnover where, as I note, their peers sit around 100%.

And then they spend a lot of time watching those stocks.  “Thinking and acting like business owners reduces our interest to those few businesses which are superior,” Rolfe writes, and he maintains a thoughtful vigil over those businesses. For folks interested in looking over their managers’ shoulders, Wedgewood has posted a series of thoughtful analyses of Apple.  Mr. Rolfe had a new analysis out to his investors within a few hours of the announcement of Steve Jobs’ resignation:

Mr. Jobs is irreplaceable.  That said. . . [i]n the history of Apple, the company has never before had the depth, breadth, scale and scope of management, technological innovation and design, financial resources and market share strength as it possesses today.  Apple’s stock will take its inevitable lumps over the near-term.  If the Street’s reaction is too extreme we will buy more.  (With our expectation of earnings power of +$40 per share in F2012, plus $100 billion in balance sheet liquidity by year-end 2011, the stock is an extreme bargain – even before today’s news.)

Beyond individual stock selection, Mr. Rolfe understood that you can’t beat an index with a portfolio that mirrors an index and so, “we believe that our portfolios must be constructed as different from an index as possible.”   And they are strikingly different.  Of 11 industry sectors that Morningstar benchmarks, Wedgewood has zero exposure to six.  In four sectors, they are “overweight” or “underweight” by margins of 2:1 up to 7:1.  Technology is the only near normal weighting in the current portfolio.  The fund’s market cap is 40% larger than its benchmark and its average stock is far faster growing.

None of which would matter if the results weren’t great.  Fortunately, they are.

Returns are high. From inception (9/92) to the end of the most recent quarter (6/11), Wedgewood’s large growth accounts returned 11.5% annually while the Russell 1000 Growth index returned 7.4%.  Wedgewood substantially leads the index in every trailing period (3, 5, 7, 10 and 15 years).  It also has the highest alpha (a measure of risk-adjusted performance) over the past 15 years of any of the large-cap growth managers in its peer group.

Risk is moderate and well-rewarded. Over the past 15 years, Wedgewood has captured about 85% of the large-cap universe’s downside and 140% of its upside.  That is, they make 40% more in a rising market and lose 15% less in a falling market than their peers do.   The comparison with large cap mutual funds is striking.  Large growth funds as a whole capture 110% of the downside and 106% of the upside.  That is, Wedgewood falls far less in falling markets and rises much more in rising ones, than did the average large-growth fund over the past 15 years.

Statisticians attempt to standardize those returns by calculating various ratios.  The famous Sharpe ratio (for which William Sharpe won a Nobel Prize) tries to determine whether a portfolio’s returns are due to smart investment decisions or a result of excess risk.  Wedgewood has the 10th highest Sharpe ratio among the 112 managers in its peer group.  The “information ratio” attempts to measure the consistency with which a manager’s returns exceeds the risks s/he takes.  The higher the IR, the more consistent a manager is and Wedgewood has the highest information ratio of any of the 112 managers in its universe.

The portfolio is well-positioned.  According to a Morningstar analysis provided by the manager, the companies in Wedgewood Growth’s portfolio are growing earnings 50% faster than those in the S&P500, while selling at an 11% discount to it.  That disconnect serves as part of the “margin of safety” that Mr. Rolfe attempts to build into the fund.

Is there reason for caution?  Sure.  Two come to mind.  The first concern is that these results were generated by the firm’s focused large-growth separate accounts, not by a mutual fund.  The dynamics of those accounts are different (different fee structure and you might have only a dozen investors to reason with, as opposed to thousands of shareholders) and some managers have been challenged to translate their success from one realm to the other.  I brought the question to Mr. Rolfe, who makes two points.  First, the investment disciplines are identical, which is what persuaded the SEC to allow Wedgewood to include the separate account track record in the fund’s prospectus.  For the purpose of that track record, the fund is now figured-in as one of the firm’s separate accounts.  Second, internal data shows good tracking consistency between the fund and the separate account composite.  That is, the fund is acting pretty much the way the separate accounts act.

The other concern is Mr. Rolfe’s individual importance to the fund.  He’s the sole manager in a relatively small operation.  While he’s a young man (not yet 50) and passionate about his work, a lot of the fund’s success will ride on his shoulders.  That said, Mr. Rolfe is significantly supported by a small but cohesive and experienced investment management team.  The three other investment professionals are Tony Guerrerio (since 1992), Dana Webb (since 2002) and Michael Quigley (since 2005).

Bottom Line

RiverPark Wedgewood is off to an excellent start.  It has one of the best records so far in 2011 (top 6%, as of 8/25/11) as well as one of the best records during the summer market turmoil (top 3% in the preceding three months).  Mr. Rolfe writes, “We are different. We are unique in that we think and act unlike the vast majority of active managers. Our results speak to our process.”  Because those results, earned through 18 years of separate account management, are not well known, advisors may be slow to notice the fund’s strength.  RWGFX is a worthy addition to the RiverPark family and to any stock-fund investors’ due-diligence list.

Fund website

Wedgewood Fund

Ellis’s “Losers Game” offers good advice for folks determined to try to beat a passive scheme, much of which is embodied here.  I don’t know how long the article will remain posted there, but it’s well-worth reading.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

Manning and Napier Disciplined Value (formerly Dividend Focus), (MNDFX), November 2011

By Editor

Objective

The fund seeks returns which are competitive with the broad market, while at the same time providing some capital protection during “sustained” bear markets. Stocks are selected from a broad universe of mid- to large-cap stocks — including international and emerging markets — based on high free cash flow, high dividend yields, and low likelihood of, well, bankruptcy. This is a quant fund which rebalances only once each year, although the managers reserve the right to add or drop individual holdings at any time.  Their target audience is investors “[s]eeking a fundamentals-based alternative to indexing.”

Adviser

Manning & Napier Advisors, LLC.  Manning & Napier was founded in 1970, and they manage about $43 billion in assets for a wide spectrum of clients from endowments and state pension plans to individual investors. About $17 billion of that amount is in their mutual funds. The firm is entirely employee-owned and their 22 funds are entirely team-managed. The firm’s investment team currently consists of more than 50 analysts and economists. The senior analysts have an average tenure of nearly 22 years.  The firm reorganized on October 1, 2011.  That reorganization reflected succession planning, as the firm’s owner – William Manning – entered his mid-70s.  Under the reorganization, the other employees own more of the fund and outside investors own a bit of it.

Manager

Managed by a team of ten. They actually mean “the team does it.” Manning & Napier is so committed to the concept that they don’t even have a CEO; that’s handled by another team, the Executive Group. In any case, the Gang of Many is the same crew that manages all their other funds.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Only one team member has an investment in this fund, as of 3/31/11.  All of the managers have over $100,000 invested in Manning & Napier funds, and three of the eight have over $500,000.

Opening date

November 7, 2008

Minimum investment

$2,000, which is waived for accounts established with an automatic investment plan (AIP).

Expense ratio

0.52% on assets of $363.5 million, as of July 2023. 

Comments

Dividend Focus invests in a diversified portfolio of large- and mega-cap stocks.  The managers select stocks based on three criteria:

  • “High free cash flow (i.e., cash generated by a company that is available to equity holders). Minimum free cash flow yield must exceed the yield of high quality corporate bonds.
  • Dividend yield equal to or exceeding the dividend yield of the broad equity market.
  • Not having a high probability of experiencing financial distress. This estimate is based on a credit scoring model that incorporates measures of corporate health such as liquidity, profitability, leverage, and solvency to assess the likelihood of a bankruptcy in the next one to two years.”

The portfolio currently (9/31/11) holds 130 stocks, about a quarter international including a 3% emerging markets stake.

Why consider it?  There are three really good reasons.

First, it’s managed by the best team you’ve never heard of.

Manning & Napier launched at the outset of “the lost decade” of the 1970s when the stock market failed to beat either inflation or the returns on cash. The “strategies and disciplines” they designed to survive that tough market allowed them to flourish in the lost decade of the 2000s: every M&N fund with a ten-year record has significant, sustained positive returns across the decade. Results like that led Morningstar, not a group enamored with small fund firms, to name Manning & Napier as a finalist for the title, Fund Manager of the Decade. In announcing the designation, Karen Dolan of Morningstar wrote:

The Manning & Napier team is the real hidden gem on this list. The team brings a unique and attractive focus on absolute returns to research companies of all sizes around the globe. The results speak for themselves, not only in World Opportunities, but across Manning & Napier’s entire lineup. (The Fund Manager of the Decade Finalists, 11/19/09)

More recently, Morningstar profiled the tiny handful of funds that have beaten their category averages every single year for the past decade (“Here Come the Category Killers,” 10/23/11). One of only three domestic stock funds to make the list was Manning & Napier Pro-Blend Maximum (EXHAX), which they praised for its “team of extremely long-tenured portfolio managers oversee the fund, employing a strategy that overlays bottom-up security selection with macroeconomic research.” MNDFX is run by the same team.

Second, it’s the cheapest possible way of accessing that team’s skill.

Manning & Napier charges 0.60% for the fund, about half of what their other (larger, more famous) funds charge.  It’s even lower than what they typically charge for institutional shares.  It’s competitive with the 0.40 – 0.50% charged by most of the dividend-focused ETFs.

Third, the fund is doing well and achieving its goals.

Manning was attempting to generate a compelling alternative to index investing.  So far, they’ve done so.  The fund returned 9% through the first ten months of 2011, placing it in the top 2% of comparable funds.  The fund has outperformed the most popular dividend-focused index funds and exchange-traded funds since its launch.

 

Since inception

Q3, 2011

Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTSMX)

15,200

-15.3%

M&N Dividend Focus (MNDFX)

14,700

-8.9

Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index (VDAIX)

14,600

-12.5

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)

14,500

-9.4

First Trust Morningstar Div Leaders Index (FDL)

14,200

-3.7

iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index (DVY)

13,400

-8.1

PowerShares HighYield Dividend Achievers (PEY)

12,000

-5.9

The fund’s focus on blue-chip companies have held it back during frothy markets when smaller and less stable firms flourish, but it also holds up better in rough periods such as the third quarter of 2011.

The fund has also earned a mention in the company of some of the most distinguished actively-managed, five-star high dividend/high quality funds.

 

Since inception

Q3, 2011

M&N Dividend Focus (MNDFX)

14,700

-8.9

Tweedy, Browne Worldwide High Dividend Yield Value (TBHDX)

14,600

-10.1

GMO Quality III (GQETX)

14,100

-5.4

In the long run, the evidence is unequivocal: a focus on high-quality, dividend-paying stocks are the closest thing the market offers to a free lunch. That is, you earn slightly higher-than-market returns with slightly lower-than-market risk. Dividends help in three ways:

  • They’ve always been an important contributor to a fund’s total returns (Eaton Vance and Standard & Poor’s separately calculated dividend’s long-term contribution at 33-50% of total returns);
  • The dividends provide an ongoing source of cash for reinvestment, especially during downturns when investors might otherwise be reluctant to add to their positions; and,
  • Dividends are often a useful signal of the underlying health of the company, and that helps investors decrease the prospect of having a position blow up.

Some cynics also observe that dividends, by taking money out of the hands of corporate executives and placing in investors’ hands, decreases the executives’ ability to engage in destructive empire-building acquisitions.

Bottom Line

After a virtually unprecedented period of junk outperforming quality, many commentators – from Jeremy Grantham to the Motley Fools – predict that high quality stocks will resume their historic role as the most attractive investments in the U.S. market, and quite possibly in the world. MNDFX offers investors their lowest-cost access to what is unquestionably one of the fund industry’s most disciplined and consistently successful management teams. Especially for taxable accounts, investors should seriously consider both Manning & Napier Tax-Managed (EXTAX) and Dividend Focus for core domestic exposure.

Fund website

Disciplined Value Fund

Fact Sheet

 

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap Fund (VVPSX), April 2011

By Editor

Objective

Seeks to achieve long-term capital appreciation by investing primarily in publicly traded small-capitalization U.S. companies – the Russell 2000 universe – believed to be both undervalued and possessing a sustainable competitive advantage. They look for businesses that are run by ethical, capable, stockholder-oriented management teams that also are good at allocating their capital. The manager determines the firm’s value, compares it to the current share price, and then invests greater amounts in the more deeply-discounted stocks.

Adviser

Vulcan Value Partner. C.T. Fitzpatrick founded Vulcan Value Partners in 2007 to manage his personal wealth. Vulcan manages two mutual funds and oversees four strategies (Large Cap, Small Cap, Focus and Focus Plus) for its separate accounts. Since inception, all four strategies have peer rankings in the top 5% of value managers in their respective categories.

Manager

C.T. Fitzpatrick, Founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Investment Officer, and Chief Shareholder. Before founding Vulcan, Mr. Fitzpatrick worked as a principal and portfolio manager at Southeastern Asset Management, adviser to the Longleaf funds. He co-managed the relatively short-lived Longleaf Partners Realty fund. During his 17 year tenure (1990-2007), the team at Southeastern Asset Management achieved double digit returns and was ranked in top 5% of money managers over five, ten, and twenty year periods according to Callan and Associates.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Mr. Fitzpatrick has over $1 million in each of Vulcan’s two funds. He also owns a majority of the Adviser. All of Vulcan Value’s employees make all of their investments either through the firm’s funds or its separate accounts.

Opening date

12/30/2009

Minimum investment

$5000, reduced to $500 for college savings accounts.

Expense ratio

1.25% on assets of $423 million, as of July 2023. There is no redemption fee. 

Comments

Mr. Fitzpatrick is a disciplined, and bullish, value investor. He spent 17 years at Southeastern Asset Management, which has a great tradition of skilled, shareholder-friendly management. He left, he says, because life simply got too hectic as SAM grew to managing $40 billion and he found himself traveling weekly to Europe. (The TSA pat downs alone would cause me to reconsider the job.) While he was not one of the Longleaf Small Cap co-managers, he knows the discipline and has imported chunks of it. Like Longleaf, Vulcan runs a very compact portfolio of 20-30 stocks while many of the small-to-midcap peers holds 50-150 names. Both firms profess a long-term perspective, and believe that a five-year perspective gives them a competitive advantage when dealing with competitors who have trouble imagining “committing” to a stock for five months. Mr. Fitzpatrick’s description is that “We buy 900-pound gorillas priced like 98-pound weaklings. We have a five-year time horizon. Usually, our investments are out of favor for short-term reasons but their long-term fundamentals are sound.” They continue to hold stocks which have grown beyond the small cap realm, so long as those stocks continue to have a favorable value profile. As a result, both firms hold more midcap than small cap stocks in their small cap funds. Neither firm is a “deep value” purist, so the portfolios contain a number of “growth” stocks. And both firms require that everyone’s interests are aligned with their shareholders; the only investment that employees of either firm are allowed to make are in the firms’ own products. That discipline seems to work. It works for Longleaf, which has 20 years of top decile returns. It’s worked for Vulcan’s separate accounts, whose small cap composite outperformed their benchmark by index by 900 basis points a year; gaining 4% which the Russell Value index dropped 5%. And it’s worked so far for the Vulcan fund, which gained nearly 23% over the first 11 months of 2010. That easily outpaces both its small- and mid-cap peer groups, placing it in the top 10% of the former.

Bottom Line

Mr. Fitzpatrick is bullish on stocks, largely because so few other people are. Money is flowing out of equities, at the same time that corporate balance sheets are becoming exceptionally strong and bonds exceptionally unattractive. In particular, he finds the highest quality companies to be the most undervalued. That creates fertile ground for a disciplined value investor. For folks venturesome enough to pursue high quality small companies, Vulcan offers the prospects of a solid, sensible, profitable vehicle.

Fund website

Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap. You might browse through the exceptionally detailed discussion of their small cap separate accounts, of which the mutual fund is a clone. There’s a fair amount of interesting commentary attached to them.

Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

RiverNorth DoubleLine Strategic Income (RNDLX), April 2011

By Editor

Objective

To provide both current income and total return. The fund has three distinct strategies, two overseen by DoubleLine, among which it allocates assets based on the advisor’s tactical judgment. The fund aims to be less volatile than the broad fixed-income market.

Adviser

RiverNorth Capital Management, LLC. RiverNorth, founded in 2000, specializes in quantitative and qualitative closed-end fund trading strategies and advises the RiverNorth Core Opportunity Fund (RNCOX) and a several hedge funds. They manage nearly $700 million for individuals and institutions, including employee benefit plans.

Manager

Patrick W. Galley and Stephen A. O’Neill, both of RiverNorth Capital and co-managers of the five-star RiverNorth Core Opportunity fund (RNCOX), and Jeffrey E. Gundlach. Mr. Gundlach ran TCW Total Return (TGLMX) from 1993 through 2009. For most trailing periods at the time of his departure, his fund had returns in the top 1% of its peer group. He was Morningstar’s fixed-income manager of the year in 2006 and a nominee for fixed income manager of the decade in 2009. Most of the investment staff from TCW moved to DoubleLine with him.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

None yet reported since the latest Statement of Additional Information precedes the fund’s launch. Mr. Galley owns more than 25% of the adviser and has between $100,000 and $500,000 in his Core Opportunity fund. Mr. Galley reports that “100% of our employees’ 401k assets [and] over 85% of the portfolio managers’ liquid net worth [is] invested in our own products.”

Opening date

December 30, 2010.

Minimum investment

$5000, reduced to $1000 for IRAs.

Expense ratio

1.28% on assets of about $1.3 Billion, as of July 2023. 

Comments

Many serious analysts expect a period of low returns across a whole variety of asset classes. GMO, for example, forecasts real returns of nearly zero on a variety of bond classes over the next five years. Forecasts for equity returns seem to range from “restrained” to “disastrous.”

If true, the received wisdom — invest in low cost, broadly diversified index funds or ETFs — will produce reasonable relative returns and unreasonable absolute ones. A popular alternative — be bold, make a few big bets — might produce better returns, but will certainly produce gut-wrenching periods. And, in truth, we’re not wired to embrace volatility.

The folks at RiverNorth propose an alternative of a sort of “core and explore” variety. RiverNorth DoubleLine Strategic Income has three “sleeves,” or distinct components in its portfolio:

  • Core Fixed Income, run by fixed-income superstar Jeff Gundlach & co., will follow the same strategy as the DoubleLine Core Fixed Income (DLFNX) fund though it won’t be a clone of the fund. As the name implies, this strategy will be the core of the portfolio. With it, Gundlach is authorized to invest globally in a wide variety of fixed-income assets. The asset allocation within this sleeve varies, based on Mr. G’s judgment.
  • Opportunistic Income, also run by Mr. G., will specialize in mortgage-backed securities. Most analysts argue that this is DoubleLine’s area of core competence, and that it’s contributed much of the alpha to his earlier TCW funds.
  • Tactical Closed-end Fund Income, run by Patrick Galley and the team at RiverNorth, invests in closed-end income funds when (1) they fit into the team’s tactical asset allocation model and (2) they are selling at an unsustainable discount. As investors in the (five-star) RiverNorth Core Opportunity (RNCOX) fund know, CEFs often sell at irrational discounts to their net asset value; that is, you might briefly be able to buy $100 worth of bonds for $80 or less. RiverNorth monitors both sectors and individual fund discounts. It buys funds when the discount is irrational and sells as soon as it returns to a rational level, looking in an arbitrage gain which is largely independent of the overall moves in the market. Ideally, the combination of opportunism and cognizance of volatility and concentration risk will allow the managers to produce a better risk adjusted return (i.e., a higher Sharpe ratio) than the Barclays Aggregate.

The fund’s logic is this: Gundlach’s Core Fixed Income sleeve is going to be rock-solid. If either Gundlach or Galley sees a high-probability, high-alpha opportunity in their respective areas of expertise, they’ll devote a portion of the portfolio to locking in those gains. If they see nothing special, a larger fraction of the fund will remain in the core portfolio. While most of us detest market volatility, Galley and Gundlach seem to be waiting anxiously for it since it gives them an opportunity to reap exceptional profits from the irrationality of other investors. The managers report that their favorite time to buy is “when your hand is shaking [as] you are going to write the check.” The ability to move assets out of Core and into one of the other sleeves means the managers will have the money available to exploit market panics, even if investor panic means the fund isn’t receiving new cash.

The CEF strategy is distinguished from the RNCOX version, which slides between CEFs (when pricing is irrational) and ETFs (when pricing is rational). Based on the managers’ judgment that Mr. Gundlach can consistently add alpha over what comparable ETFs might offer (both in sector and security selection), Mr. Galley will slide his resources between CEFs (when pricing is irrational) and Core Fixed Income (when pricing isn’t).

While there’s no formal “neutral allocation” for the fund, the managers can imagine a world in which about half of the fund is usually in Core Fixed Income and the remainder split between the two alpha-generating strategies. Since the three strategies are uncorrelated, they offer a real prospect of damping the portfolio’s overall volatility while adding alpha. How much alpha? In early February, the managers estimated that their strategies were yielding between the mid single digits (in two sleeves) and low double-digits (in the other).

Bottom Line

In reviewing RiverNorth Core in 2009, I described the case for the fund as “compelling.” Absent a crushing legal defeat for Mr. Gundlach in his ongoing fight with former employer TCW, the same term seems to fit here as well.

I’ve been pondering a question, posed on the board, about a three fund portfolio; that is, if you could own three and only three funds over the long haul, which would they be? Given its reasonable expenses, the managers’ sustained successes, innovative design and risk-consciousness, this might well be one of the three on my list anyway.

Fund website

RiverNorth Funds

RiverNorth/DoubleLine Strategic Income

Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

FPA Queens Road Value (formerly Queens Road Value), (QRVLX), April 2011

By Editor

At the time of publication, this fund was named Queens Road Value.

Objective

The fund seeks capital appreciation by investing in the stocks or preferred shares of U.S. companies. They look for companies with strong balance sheets and experienced management, and stocks selling at discounted price/earnings and price-to-cash flow ratios. It used to be called Queens Road Large Cap Value, but changed its name to widen the range of allowable investments. Nonetheless, it continues to put the vast majority of its portfolio into large cap value stocks.

Adviser

Bragg Financial Advisors, headquartered in Charlotte, NC. In particular, their offices are on Queens Road. Bragg has been around since the early 1970s, provides investment services to institutions and individuals, and has about $400 million in assets under management. It’s now run by the second generation of the Bragg family.

Manager

Steven Scruggs, CFA. Mr. Scruggs has worked for BFA since 2000 and manages this fund and Queens Road Small Cap Value (QRSVX). That’s about it. No separate accounts, hedge funds or other distractions. On the other hand, he has no research analysts to support him.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

As of the most recent Statement of Additional Information, Mr. Scruggs has invested between $10,000 and $50,000 in his fund. Though small in absolute terms, it’s described as “the vast majority of [his] investable assets.”

Opening date

June 13, 2002.

Minimum investment

$2500 for regular accounts, $1000 for tax-sheltered accounts.

Expense ratio

0.95% on assets of $19 million.

Comments

Steven Scruggs, and his investing partner Benton Bragg, are trying to do a simple, sensible thing well. By their own description, they’re trying to tune out the incessant noise – the market’s down, gold is up, it’s the “new normal,” no, it isn’t, Glenn Beck has investing advice, the Hindenburg’s been spotted, volumes are thin – and focus on what works: “over long periods of time companies are worth the amount of economic profits they earn for their shareholders.” They’re not trying to out-guess the market or make top-down calls. They’re mostly trying to find companies that will make more money over the next five years than they’re making now. When the stocks of those companies are unreasonably cheap, they buy them and hold them for something like 5-7 years. When they don’t find stocks that are unreasonably cheap given their companies’ prospects, they let cash (or gold, a sort of cash substitute) accumulate. As of the last portfolio disclosure, gold is about 3% and cash about 11% of the portfolio. The fund typically holds 50 or so names, which is neither terribly focused nor terribly dilute. He’s been avoiding big banks in favor of insurers. He’s overweighted technology, because many of those companies have remarkably solid financials right now. The manager anticipates slow growth and, it seems, mostly imprudent government intervention. As a result, he’s being cautious in his attempts to find high quality companies with earnings growth potential. All of this has produced a steady ride for the fund’s investors. The fund outperformed its peer group in every quarter of the 2007-09 meltdown and performed particularly well during the market drops in June and August 2010. And it tends to post competitive returns in rising markets. Its ability to handle poor weather places the fund near the top of its large-value cohort for the past one, three and five-year periods, as well as the eight-year period since inception.

Bottom Line

A fund for the times, or for the timid? It might be either. It’s clear that most retail investors have long patience (or courage) and are not willing to embrace high volatility investments. Mr. Scruggs ongoing skepticism about the market and economy, his attention to financially solid firms, and willingness to hold cash likely will serve such investors well.

Fund website

Queens Road Value Fund

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

Prospector Capital Appreciation (PCAFX), April 2011

By Editor

Objective

Seeks capital appreciation by investing globally in a combination of stocks and “equity-related securities,” though they have latitude to invest in a broad array of distressed debt. Their activities are limited to the U.S. “and other developed markets.” They look for firms with good long-term prospects for generating total return (appreciation plus dividends), good managers, good products and some evidence of a catalyst for unlocking additional value.

Adviser

Prospector Partners Asset Management, LLC . Prospector was founded in 1997 and manages about $2 billion in assets, including $70 million in its two mutual funds.

Managers

John Gillespie, Richard Howard and Kevin O’Brien. Mr. Howard, the lead manager, was the storied manager of the storied T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Fund (PRWCX, 1989-2001). Mr. Gillespie spent a decade at T. Rowe Price, including a stint as manager of Growth Stock (PRGFX, 1994-96) and New Media (1993-1997). Mr. O’Brien comanaged Neuberger Berman Genesis (NBGNX). All three have extensive experience at White Mountain Insurance, whose investment division has Buffett-like credentials.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Each of the managers has over $100,000 invested in the fund and into their other charge, Prospector Opportunity, as well. The fund’s officers and board own 17% of the shares of PCAFX. Mr. Gillespie and his family own 20% and Mr. Howard owns almost 7%. They also own a majority of the advisor.

Opening date

9/27/2007

Minimum investment

$10,000 across the board.

Expense ratio

1.26% after waivers on assets of $28.3 million, plus a 2% redemption fee on shares held fewer than 60 days.

Comments

Most investors folks on two sorts of securities — stocks and bonds. The former provides an ownership stake in a firm, the latter provides the opportunity to lend money to the firm with the prospect of repayment with interest. There are, however, other options. One, called convertible securities, are a sort of hybrid. They have bond-like characteristics (fairly high payouts, fairly low volatility) but they are convertible under certain characteristics into shares of company stock. That conversion possibility then creates a set of equity-linked characteristics: because investors know that these things can become stock, their value risks when the value of the firm’s stock rises. As a result, you buy a fraction of the stock’s upside and a fraction of its downside with steady income to boot. The trick, of course, is making sure that the “fraction of upside” is greater than the “fraction of downside.” That is, if you can capture 90% of a stock’s potential gains with only half of its potential losses, you win. Successful convertibles investing is a tricky business, undertaken by durn few funds. The few that do it well have accumulated spectacular risk-adjusted records for their investors. These include Matthews Asian Growth & Income (MACSX), a singularly excellent play on Asian investing, T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation (PRCWX), which consistently beats 98% of its peers over longer time frames, and, to a lesser extent, FPA Crescent (FPACX). You can now add Prospector Capital Appreciation to that list. Prospector’s prime charms are two: first, it has a sensible strategy for the use of convertibles. The fund starts its investment process by looking at the firm, then seeking convertibles which can offer a large fraction of the gains made by a firm’s stock with substantial downside protection. It buys common stock only if the firm is attractive but no convertible shares are to be had. Six of 10 largest buys in the first half of 2010 were convertibles. Because the market lately has favored lower-quality over higher-quality stocks, the fund has been able to add blue chip names, an occurrence which seems to leave him slightly dumb-struck: “we continue adding recognized high quality stocks to the portfolio . . . this seems almost surreal. We are used to buying mediocre companies that are getting better or good companies that few have heard of, not recognized quality.” At the moment (late 2010) about a quarter of the portfolio is in convertibles, about 13% in international stocks, a bit in bonds and cash, and the remainder in US stocks. The manager’s value orientation led him to include three gold miners in the top ten holdings but to avoid, almost entirely, tech names. The second attraction is the fund’s lead manager, Richard Howard. Mr. Howard guided T. Rowe Price Capital Apprecation is a spectacular performance over 12 years. He turned a $10,000 initial investment into $42,000, which dwarfed his peers’ performance (they averaged $32,000) and gave him one of the best records for any fund in Morningstar’s old “domestic hybrid” category. For much of that time, he kept pace with the hard-charging S&P500, lagging it in the bubble of the late 90s and making up much of the ground before his departure in August 2001. He posted only one small calendar-year losses in 12 years of management. He seems not to have lost his touch. The fund just passed its third anniversary and earned a five star rating from Morningstar, posting “high” returns for “average” risk. Moreover, he’s outperformed his old fund by about a third, lost noticeably less in 2008 and has done so with less volatility.

Bottom Line

Conservative equity investors should look seriously at funds, such as this, which seem to have mastered the use of convertible securities as a tool of risk management and enhanced returns. The investment minimum here is regrettably high and the expense ratio is understandably high. The primary appeal over Price Cap App is two-fold: Mr. Howard’s skills and the tiny asset base, which should give him the availability to establish meaningful positions in securities too small to profit the Price fund.

Fund website

Prospector Capital Appreciation homepage

Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

Hussman Strategic International Equity (HSIEX), April 2011

By Editor

Hussman Strategic International Equity Fund was liquidated in June, 2023. Information in this profile is provided purely for archival purposes.

Objective

The fund seeks long term capital growth, but with special emphasis on defensive actions during unfavorable market conditions. The portfolio is a mix of individual securities, ETFs (up to 30% of the portfolio) and hedges. In the near term, the hedging strategy will focus on shorting particular markets; the fund can short individual ETFs but “the fund does not intend to use these hedging techniques during the coming year.” The portfolio balance is determined by the manager’s macro-level assessments of world markets. The fund may be fully hedged (that is, the amount long exactly matches the amount short), but it will not be net short.

Adviser

Hussman Econometrics Advisors of beautiful Ellicott City, Maryland. The advisor was founded in 1989 by John Hussman, who is the firm’s President and sole shareholder. Hussman also advises the Hussman Strategic Growth and Hussman Strategic Total Return funds but does not advise any private accounts. Together, those funds hold about $9 billion in assets.

Manager

John Hussman and William Hester. Hussman has a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford, a Masters degree in education and social policy and a B.A. in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, he was a adjunct assistant professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan and its business school, an options mathematician at the Chicago Board of Trade, and publisher (since ’88) of the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Mr. Hester has been Hussman’s Senior Research Analyst since 2003, and this will be his first stint at co-managing a fund.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

“Except for a tiny percentage in money market funds, all of Dr. Hussman’s liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds,” which translates to over a million in each of his two funds, plus sole ownership of the advisor. Likewise, “The compensation of every member of our Board of Trustees is generally invested directly into the Funds. All of these investments are regular and automatic.”

Opening date

December 31, 2009, sort of. The fund ran for nine months of road-testing, with only the manager’s own money in the fund. It opened to purchases by the public on September 1, 2010.

Minimum investment

$1,000 for regular, $500 for IRA/UGMA accounts and $100 for automatic investing plans.

Expense ratio

Capped at 2.0% through the end of 2012. The fund’s actual operating expenses are around 5.0%, measured against an in-house asset base of $7.5 million. The Strategic Growth Fund, of which this is an offshoot, has expenses around 1%. There’s a 1.5% redemption fee on shares held fewer than sixty days.

Comments

Dr. Hussman’s funds have drawn huge inflows in the past several years. Strategic Total Return (HSTRX) grew from under $200 million in June 2007 to $2.3 billion by June 2010. Strategic Growth (HSGFX) grew from $2.7 billion to $6.7 billion in the same period. The reason’s simple: over the past five years, they’ve made money. Total Return posted a healthy profit in 2008 (7%) and over the entire period of the market crash (an 8% rise from 10/07 – 03/09). In a crash where the Total Stock Market index dropped nearly 50%, Strategic Growth’s 5% decline became phenomenally attractive. And so the money poured in.

Presumably that track record will quickly draw attention, and assets, here.

Mr. Hussman’s success has been driven by his ability to make macro-level assessments of markets and economies, and then to position his funds with varying degrees of defensiveness based on those assessments. He has frequently been right, though that merely means he’s mostly been bearish.

Before investing in the fund, one might consider several reservations:

  1. Mr. Hussman has relatively little experience, at least as measured by portfolio composition, in international investing. Non-U.S. stocks comprise only 5-6% of his other portfolios.
  2. The other Hussman funds could, if Mr. H. found the case compelling, provide substantially more international exposure. At the very least, Strategic Growth’s portfolio contains no explicit limitation on the extent of international exposure in the portfolio.
  3. Mr. Hussman himself is skeptical of the value of international investing. His argument in January 2009 was striking:

    . . . the correlation of returns across various markets increases during recessionary periods. As I noted in November 2007 . . . global diversification is least useful when it’s needed most. And this data shows that not only does the correlation between US and international markets rise during recessions, but that global returns trail US returns during these periods. Lower returns with higher correlation. This data implies that the benefits of international investing and diversification come predominantly during periods of global expansion, and not during bear markets induced by recessions.

  4. Assets under management are ballooning. $2 billion in new – read: “hot” – money in a single year is a lot for a small operation to handle (c.f. Van Wagoner funds), and there’s no immediate sign of a decrease. Encouraging still-more inflows comes at a cost.

Mr. Hussman has done good work. I’ve written, favorably and repeatedly, about his Strategic Total Return fund. I’ve invested in that fund. And I’ve been impressed with his concern about shareholder-friendly policies, including his own financial commitment to the funds. That said, Mr. Hussman has not – so far as I can find – made any public statements explaining the launch of, or reasons behind this new fund.

Bottom Line

I don’t know why you’d want to invest in this fund. The expenses are high, the existing funds can provide international exposure and the manager himself seems skeptical of the rationale for international investing. That’s not an argument that you should run away. It’s a simple observation that the particular advantages of this fund are still undefined.

Fund website

The Hussman Funds. Hussman’s 2009 critique of international investing is also available on his website.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.

Artisan Value (ARTLX), April 2011

By Editor

Objective

Multi-cap value equity. The managers have three broad criteria for equity selection: attractive valuation, sound financial condition and attractive business economics. The managers may invest in turnarounds, companies in transition, and companies that have experienced (short-term) earnings shortfalls. The minimum market cap $1.5 billion. While the primary focus is on U.S. companies, up to 25% of the portfolio can be invested in foreign firms.

Adviser

Artisan Partners, LP. Artisan manages $45 billion in eight mutual funds, including Opportunistic Value and separate accounts. Five of its seven existing funds are closed to new investors. Artisans’ managers are all co-owners of the advisory firm.

Managers

Daniel L. Kane, Thomas A. Reynolds IV, and Craig Inman. 

Opening date

March 27, 2006

Minimum investment

$1000 for both regular and IRA accounts. The minimum is waived for investors establishing an automatic monthly investment of at least $50.

Expense ratio

1.06% on assets of $260 million, as of June 2023. 

David’s comments

There are two concerns before investing in Opportunistic Value. First, is there any reason to believe that the managers have the expertise to invest large caps? That’s a good question and one for which there’s no immediate answer. And, second, with two closed funds and separate account assets already, are they overstretched? The fund assets sit around $5 billion, each has 50% turnover. That’s a lot of money, though certainly not beyond the range of what many multi-cap managers at smaller firms (Ron Muhlenkamp and four analysts handle over $3 billion, Wally Weitz handle $5 billion, the folks at Longleaf handle $9 billion). For both questions, the answer might be “a stretch but not necessarily overstretched.”

Weighed against that

(1) Artisan gets it right. Artisan has a great track record for new fund launches. The company launches a new fund only when two conditions are satisfied: it believes it can add significant value and it has a manager who has the potential to be a “category killer.” Almost all of Artisan’s new funds have had very strong first-year performance (their most recent launches – International Small Cap and International Value – finished in the top 1% and 24%, respectively) and above average long-term performance. All of the managers are risk-conscious, so even the “growth” managers tend toward the “value” end of the spectrum. Beyond that, Artisan tends to charge below average expenses, they don’t pay for marketing, and close their funds early.

(2) Satterwhite gets it right. Before joining Artisan in 1997, the lead manager – Scott Satterwhite – ran a very successful small-value portfolio called Biltmore (later, Wachovia) Special Values. His main charge at Artisan, Small Cap Value (ARTVX), tends to have modest volatility and above average returns. It tends to outperform its peers in rocky markets and trail only slightly in boisterous ones. His newer charge, Midcap Value (ARTQX) has had a phenomenal four-year history despite cooling over the past twelve months.

(3) A tested discipline should help them keep it right. Opportunistic Value will use the same stock selection criteria that have served the managers well for the past decade in their other two funds. As a result, there should be relatively few surprises in store.

Bottom line

For investors interested in a place on the “all cap” bandwagon, this is about as promising as a new offering can get.

Company link

http://www.artisanfunds.com/mutual_funds/artisan_funds/value.cfm

April 1, 2006
© Mutual Fund Observer, 2011.  All rights reserved.  The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication.  For reprint/e-rights contact David@MutualFundObserver.com.